Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.849508 6.420141 7.047862 7.794456 8.664634 9.654814 10.878388
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 4.921866 5.673752 6.565752 7.720421 9.203949 11.088002 13.735133
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 4.587795 5.479570 6.598287 8.144697 10.296350 13.303043 18.069736
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.257705 5.217909 6.473188 8.297817 11.003519 15.101507 22.347131
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.902950 4.871674 6.176358 8.144818 11.209850 16.161066 25.766120
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.636954 4.612059 5.959865 8.062039 11.484915 17.363265 29.880030
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.385695 4.347313 5.704186 7.878170 11.551675 18.200421 33.600618
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.208518 4.170721 5.556508 7.837867 11.843056 19.508583 39.021851
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.055394 4.015683 5.424552 7.802403 12.129480 20.871535 45.385561
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.971788 3.955070 5.428608 7.988835 12.851344 23.353685 56.809110
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.801153 3.752596 5.194495 7.738990 12.685762 23.779215 61.914207
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.645367 3.563742 4.968883 7.481847 12.467581 24.027857 66.675238
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.509358 3.405937 4.795495 7.326142 12.489627 25.039572 76.459471
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.399523 3.283816 4.673982 7.257716 12.700406 26.680211 92.028956
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.382422 3.304799 4.789349 7.644328 13.998058 32.024246 142.006266
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.323147 3.254043 4.778055 7.783645 14.757078 36.175815 203.463552
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.224247 3.133152 4.636049 7.644435 14.801787 37.904250 252.774758
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.143140 3.037012 4.530787 7.569068 14.998040 40.352422 334.155460
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.054523 2.924036 4.388302 7.401539 14.920143 41.694473 416.309654
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.991101 2.849946 4.311001 7.364794 15.196218 44.783459 604.426649
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.932658 2.781342 4.239199 7.332455 15.481112 48.171318 943.216441
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.904806 2.763002 4.258310 7.502389 16.401959 55.650128 2453.830742
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.827782 2.657076 4.107737 7.274612 16.063045 55.916504 3420.265582